Investments  

Macro picture sees precious metal shine

This article is part of
Investing in Commodities – April 2016

He adds: “Silver is similar – it trades in currency markets the way gold does. The relationship between the two is very consistent and embedded in market psyche.

“But silver is a market that doesn’t have the depth of gold, which means the moves in both directions are accentuated.”

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For those investors who do want an allocation to gold, the World Gold Council suggests holding no more than 10 per cent of the portfolio in the metal – in usual circumstances at least.

Mr Mulligan explains: “A lot of research we’ve done suggests between 2 and 10 per cent is at least an optimal allocation. But that is in fairly stable conditions, not in a negative interest rate environment where we would probably expect a higher allocation.”

Importantly, investors need to understand how gold and other precious metals behave before allocating a proportion of their portfolio to this asset.

Mr Naylor-Leyland notes: “It is something that people think they understand and, when they start digging into it, they find they don’t understand anything about it at all.

“There is a tendency for people to presume gold is a small and esoteric market with little relevance to the modern world, but the truth is the exact opposite – it is the centre of the entire financial system, hence central banks have 18 per cent of their physical reserves in it.”

Ellie Duncan is deputy features editor at Investment Adviser